Bush v. Trump: Team Jeb’s Wet Dream

Called it (on Trump helping, or being thought to help Bush, anyway)!

Politico: “Jeb Bush is convincing donors the polls are wrong: His team is selling a Trump vs. Bush vision that relies on big-money backers ignoring public data”:

According to another source close to Right to Rise, Murphy has been floating another tactical shift to potential supporters, suggesting that he might spend the bulk of the $75 million to carpet bomb MarcoRubio, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Chris Christie — everyone but Trump. The thinking: Making the race into a binary choice between Bush and Trump might be the only way a majority of primary voters go with Bush.

Starting in August, I repeatedly noted that Bush’s best bet was as a safe bet vis. Trump, and that Trump helped Bush by making donors and voters more risk-averse.

What I didn’t anticipate was that Bush’s support would become exceedingly weak; far from being a The Fix Is In For Bush! thing that the garment-rending anti-“RINO” hysterics regularly predicted (and which I knew, in normal circumstances anyway, was horseshit), Rubio started picking up steam, Rand Paul headed for the basement, and Jeb floundered in an epic way.

Nevertheless, I more or less predicted the broad parameters of what Team Jeb’s ultimate strategy would likely boil down to, if Trump didn’t implode early (read from the bottom up):

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